Fabril CD vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 0
FAB
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FAB
1 - 1
ATL
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 4
FAB
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAB
2 - 1
COD
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GOZ
0 - 2
FAB
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 0
POD
42%
24%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 0
NAR
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 1
NAI
26%
23%
52%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 1
PDV
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
3 - 0
NAR
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |