Fabril Barreiro vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 2
FAB
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FAB
3 - 3
LOU
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
FAB
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAB
0 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FAB
1 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
SIN
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 1
OPE
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAL
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
OPE
5 - 0
CLU
80%
13%
6%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COI
1 - 2
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |