Fabril Barreiro vs Messinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
15%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.2%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 0
FAB
12%
23%
65%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAB
4 - 2
RED
84%
13%
3%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
QUA
3 - 1
FAB
12%
23%
66%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAB
4 - 0
LAG
83%
13%
4%
|
71 | 22 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PES
2 - 0
FAB
11%
22%
67%
|
72 | 28 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
MES
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
LAG
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALJ
0 - 1
MES
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MES
1 - 1
SES
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DES
0 - 2
MES
13%
20%
68%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |