Fabriek vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
83.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
0 - 2
EXC
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
LOK
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIE
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BRU
5 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
SLP
5 - 1
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |