Tartu Kalev vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 2
FCE
24%
22%
54%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAI
2 - 3
FAT
37%
22%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
FAT
2 - 3
JKN
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KUR
0 - 3
FAT
23%
21%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 2
NOU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
JFP
3 - 5
MAA
10%
16%
74%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
MAA
3 - 0
PAI
91%
7%
2%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAA
2 - 0
NOU
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TJK
3 - 5
MAA
8%
14%
78%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
JKN
1 - 0
MAA
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |