FA 2000 vs Kalundborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DOL
2 - 5
FA2
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FA2
1 - 2
LSF
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OTB
0 - 0
FA2
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FA2
1 - 4
B19
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FA2
0 - 1
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Kalundborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
KAL
0 - 10
LYN
11%
17%
73%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DAL
4 - 2
KAL
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
KAL
3 - 4
RIN
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAE
2 - 1
KAL
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |