FA 2000 vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
FA2
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
FA2
1 - 2
AVE
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SKJ
2 - 4
FA2
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
KAS
1 - 1
FA2
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FA2
0 - 0
SKO
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
KAS
0 - 2
BGA
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
VAN
1 - 1
BGA
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BGA
2 - 2
AVE
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |