FA 2000 vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
FA2
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FA2
4 - 0
NBB
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BGA
0 - 1
FA2
32%
23%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FA2
3 - 0
FCO
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FA2
2 - 1
LED
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ABT
2 - 2
B19
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
B19
1 - 0
BAL
58%
23%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
B19
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
B19
1 - 1
NBB
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
B19
2 - 1
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |