UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-6
F91 Dudelange vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 0
F91
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
KAE
0 - 5
F91
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
JEU
1 - 1
F91
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
ETZ
0 - 1
F91
30%
23%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
F91
9 - 0
STE
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 0
F91
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
VEN
5 - 0
SKB
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VEN
5 - 3
JFK
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
RIG
0 - 5
VEN
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
LIE
2 - 1
VEN
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |