UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-3
F91 Dudelange vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
F91
4 - 3
EXC
91%
8%
2%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
F91
5 - 0
ETZ
79%
13%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
F91
5 - 3
LXC
87%
10%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
USH
3 - 4
F91
7%
15%
79%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
F91
2 - 0
VIC
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 4
VAL
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GZI
0 - 2
VAL
39%
24%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
HIB
2 - 3
VAL
39%
24%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 2
HIB
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
VAL
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -2 |