Extremadura C vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDZ
8 - 0
EXT
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EXT
2 - 1
ASA
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CPG
2 - 0
EXT
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EXT
2 - 1
BIE
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CDS
3 - 0
EXT
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UDF
8 - 1
ASA
89%
7%
3%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CPG
1 - 3
UDF
57%
20%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UDF
9 - 0
BIE
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CDS
2 - 2
UDF
20%
22%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UDF
8 - 1
SEG
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |