Extremadura C vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
52.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CPG
3 - 0
EXT
39%
21%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
USA
1 - 1
EXT
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
EXT
1 - 2
ZAF
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 3
EXT
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SPR
0 - 1
EXT
9%
14%
78%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UCL
2 - 0
SPR
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
UCL
3 - 1
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ZAF
0 - 0
UCL
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
UCL
1 - 1
SMA
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UCL
1 - 2
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |