Extension Gunners vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extension Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
EXT
2 - 0
SES
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
EXT
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
EXT
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EXT
0 - 2
TOW
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -7 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
EXT
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +8 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
SBB
1 - 2
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 1
UHM
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 4
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SBB
1 - 3
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |