Extension Gunners vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extension Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TOW
0 - 0
EXT
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
EXT
2 - 2
TAF
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
EXT
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
EXT
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 2
TOW
47%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 4
ECC
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 4
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UFS
3 - 0
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |