Express SC vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
27.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 1
BUL
39%
28%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
URA
2 - 1
EXP
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
EXP
0 - 1
MFC
40%
28%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
WAK
0 - 0
EXP
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 1
EXP
26%
25%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
SCV
40%
30%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
2 - 0
JIN
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
SCV
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 1
AHS
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |