Exeter City vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WYC
2 - 2
EXE
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
EXE
1 - 0
BRO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 0
EXE
41%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EXE
1 - 1
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BHA
2 - 0
EXE
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
3 - 0
WAL
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 0
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LEY
2 - 0
WAL
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 2
MIL
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SOU
5 - 1
WAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |