Excursionistas vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
EXC
44%
29%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
LUJ
58%
24%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 1
EXC
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SMG
0 - 1
EXC
47%
29%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
EXC
53%
27%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DOC
0 - 1
SMG
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 3
DOC
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DOC
2 - 3
JJU
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SAC
4 - 0
DOC
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MID
2 - 1
DOC
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |