Excursionistas vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
LUJ
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SMG
0 - 0
EXC
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
SAC
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JJU
1 - 1
EXC
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
DOC
0 - 1
LIN
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
MID
0 - 0
DOC
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
DOC
2 - 0
LAF
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
DOC
27%
29%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
DOC
0 - 1
UAI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |