Excursionistas vs Dock Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
LUJ
1 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 3
EXC
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
DOC
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
DOC
0 - 2
LUJ
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
DOC
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |