Excursionistas vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
DAL
2 - 0
EXC
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SBA
1 - 2
EXC
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
ALE
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
EXC
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
LAF
0 - 0
ARM
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CAÑ
2 - 3
LAF
27%
30%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LAF
1 - 1
DAL
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SBA
0 - 1
LAF
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LAF
1 - 3
ALE
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |