Excursionistas vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
DOC
0 - 0
EXC
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
SMG
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MER
0 - 3
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 3
DAL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
COL
0 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
4 - 0
SMG
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
DAL
2 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
SMA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
LAM
4 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
DOC
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |