Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
6 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 0
ZWO
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 4
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
HER
3 - 4
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FEY
2 - 3
WIL
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |