Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FEY
5 - 0
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VVV
2 - 3
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZA
15%
21%
65%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 2
UTR
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
TWE
2 - 2
WIL
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
PSV
10%
18%
71%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |