Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
SCH
27%
24%
49%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 2
EXC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TWE
1 - 3
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
TWE
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |