Excelsior vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
RKC
1 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
VVV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
5 - 0
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 4
WIL
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |