Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
RJC
7 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
SCH
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
AZA
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RKC
4 - 0
VVV
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
65%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
VVV
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VVV
2 - 0
RJC
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
HER
7 - 0
VVV
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |