Excelsior vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
TEL
3 - 1
EXC
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 0
RBC
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
ZWO
3 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FCE
2 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
VVV
1 - 0
BVV
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
VVV
5 - 1
TEL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RBC
1 - 0
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
VVV
1 - 1
ZWO
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BOS
2 - 2
VVV
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |