Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
EXC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
TWE
4 - 1
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
4 - 3
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 0
HER
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ARG
1 - 3
VIT
23%
23%
55%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |