Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
EXC
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 5
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
4 - 0
BOS
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 2
BOS
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 1
TEL
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 1
TEL
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 0
FCD
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 4
NAC
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |