Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
BVO
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
EIN
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
FCO
0 - 2
EXC
21%
24%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
47%
23%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 0
EIN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
TEL
3 - 1
ALK
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
TEL
3 - 4
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 2
TEL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
TEL
1 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |