Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
SPA
20%
23%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
FCO
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
HEL
1 - 0
TEL
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
TEL
0 - 0
GRA
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 3
TEL
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
TEL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
0 - 1
TEL
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |