Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
FCO
1 - 4
EXC
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
FOR
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 2
BVV
59%
22%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
TEL
1 - 0
HEL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 3
TEL
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
TEL
3 - 1
VOL
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
GRO
5 - 0
TEL
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
TEL
0 - 3
GAE
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |