Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCD
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
WIL
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 1
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
18%
23%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 0
FCO
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
VVV
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
PSV
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |