Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
FCO
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 6
GAE
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 3
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SPA
5 - 1
FCO
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 0
FCD
54%
23%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
SPA
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
HEL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
MVV
0 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |