Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
SPA
4 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
HFC
2 - 1
SPA
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
GAE
1 - 3
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |