Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FEY
5 - 0
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 0
RJC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RJC
0 - 3
SCH
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GAE
2 - 0
RJC
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |