Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 2
EXC
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 1
VVV
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 2
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
RJC
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |