Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
6 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 3
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 4
RJC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
RJC
3 - 2
VIT
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |