Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
VVV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 0
RJC
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
RJC
0 - 0
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 3
RJC
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |