Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
FEY
0 - 4
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
UTR
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 2
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
ADO
2 - 0
RJC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
RJC
4 - 0
MVV
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
PSV
0 - 1
RJC
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |