Excelsior vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 5
TEL
36%
31%
34%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
RJC
1 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 1
RJC
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
RJC
2 - 2
TEL
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
TWE
3 - 2
RJC
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
RJC
1 - 2
EIN
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |