Excelsior vs RBC Roosendaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
ZWO
3 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
FCE
2 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
FCD
2 - 1
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RBC Roosendaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RBC
1 - 0
VVV
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
RBC
1 - 0
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
RBC
0 - 1
BVV
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
ZWO
2 - 0
RBC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
RBC
2 - 1
BOS
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |