Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
16º
15º
75
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 1
VIT
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
EXC
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
EXC
50%
23%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 2
FCD
78%
13%
8%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
0 - 1
GLA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 2
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 5
PSV
11%
18%
72%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PSV
4 - 1
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |