Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
78.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
11%
17%
72%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PSV
1 - 1
FEY
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PSV
5 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | +1 |