Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
59%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 3
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 2
EXC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ZWO
0 - 1
PSV
14%
19%
68%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 3
TWE
76%
17%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 4
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
VOL
0 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PSV
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |