Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 1
LIE
56%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 4
BVO
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 2
TWE
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
PSV
23%
22%
55%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 2
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |