Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
TWE
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 2
NEC
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
PSV
5 - 0
ADO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PSV
2 - 1
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
RKC
2 - 1
PSV
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |