Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
4 - 3
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
BVO
1 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
HER
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 1
AZA
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
FEN
2 - 0
PSV
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
2 - 1
PSV
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 4
PSV
21%
25%
53%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
PSV
0 - 0
FEN
59%
22%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |