Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 3
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
PSV
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
PSV
22%
25%
52%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |