Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
RJC
0 - 1
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
23%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
TEL
2 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
EXC
2 - 1
EIN
48%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
PSV
3 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 0
PSV
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 1
EIN
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
MVV
1 - 6
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
PSV
2 - 1
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |